Fed: Inflation Main Worry, But Cites Risks

WASHINGTON -- The Federal Reserve on Tuesday held benchmark U.S. interest rates steady and said that while tightening credit conditions had increased downside risks facing the economy, inflation was still its main concern.

The decision by the central bank's Federal Open Market Committee kept the overnight federal funds rate at 5.25 percent, the level it hit in June 2006 after 17 straight quarter-percentage point increases.

The decision comes against a backdrop of volatile financial markets and rising default rates in the U.S. subprime mortgage market. Even after a big rebound Monday, stocks indexes are well below highs notched in mid-July.

The Fed took note of the turbulence as it outlined its thinking, but said it believed the economy was sound.

Story Continues Below

"Although the downside risks to growth have increased somewhat, the committee's predominant policy concern remains the risk that inflation will fail to moderate as expected," the central bank said in a statement.

"Financial markets have been volatile in recent weeks, credit conditions have become tighter for some households and businesses, and the housing correction is ongoing," it said. "Nevertheless, the economy seems likely to continue to expand at a moderate pace over coming quarters."

Prices for U.S. government bonds and stocks slipped, while the dollar held steady, after the announcement.

As markets worry about exposure to subprime loans, credit conditions have tightened for borrowers, raising the possibility of slowing consumer and business spending.

A spending slowdown would hit the economy at a time when housing markets are struggling to stabilize after big declines in construction and sales.

Some data already suggests growth has downshifted a bit after a strong second quarter.

The government said Friday that the nation's employers added a modest 92,000 jobs in July, while two private sector reports have shown slower gains in manufacturing and service sector activity.

The Fed has been able to take some comfort recently that its vigilance on prices is paying off, as gauges of core inflation, which strip out volatile food and energy costs, have eased in recent months.

But data Tuesday showing worker productivity advanced at a slower-than-expected rate in the second quarter, and downward revisions to productivity gains for prior years, fueled concern that the central bank may have to lower its view of the speed limit the economy must observe to keep inflation at bay.

And while the U.S. central bank may feel some relief from moderating core inflation, oil prices that reached a record high $78.77 a barrel on Aug. 1 will keep inflation nervousness alive.

Finally, the labor market, which policy-makers have steadily pointed to as a possible source of price pressure, showed signs of softening in July, with the jobless rate edging up to 4.6 percent from 4.5 percent the prior month.

© Reuters 2007. All rights reserved. Republication or redistribution of Reuters content, including by caching, framing or similar means, is expressly prohibited without the prior written consent of Reuters.

Editor's note:
Big Government Lies Exposed. Go Here Now.
The Mother of All Financial Disasters
Bernanke Reveals `Fiscal Crisis` Ahead

 Street Talk Stories

  High-Yield Muni Funds Fall From Grace
  Mortgage Job Losses Surpass 38,000
  Mortgage Crisis Widens at Lenders, Banks
  FDIC Keeping Close Eyes on Markets, Banks
  Fed Optimistic It's Bought Time
  International Travel Surge Incites Online Battle
  Fed Seen Cutting Rates on Sept. 18 — Poll
  Harvard's Endowment Hits Nearly $35 Billion
  Bush Tries to Calm, Reassure Investors
  Fed Ready to Use All Tools to Calm Market
  Financial Job Cuts Soaring on Housing Woes
  Wall of Money Hovers Over Financial Markets

115-115