Ford on Collision Course with Bankruptcy?

(Headlines - scroll down for full stories)
1. Ford on Collision Course With Bankruptcy?
2. Home Prices Slide Once Again
3. Forbes: World's Super Rich Call London Home
4. Durable Goods Orders Plunge

 

1. Ford on Collision Course With Bankruptcy?

Ford Motor Company yesterday announced plans to procure $18 billion to finance its "Way Forward" turnaround plan, and details of the financing deal reveal that Ford is putting up nearly all of its domestic assets as collateral.

Ford is risking its U.S. plants, office buildings, patents, trademarks, and stakes in its credit division, Ford Credit, and Volvo. That's the first time in the company's 103-year history that it was forced to mortgage parts of its business to obtain financing.

Story Continues Below

Ford said in a statement that it needed the funding "to address near- and medium-term negative operating-related cash flow, to fund its restructuring, and to provide added liquidity to protect against a recession or other unanticipated events."

The company arranged the financing with investment banks J.P. Morgan Chase, Citigroup, and Goldman Sachs. Under the terms, Ford is replacing an existing $6.3 billion unsecured line of credit with a new $8 billion secured, five-year revolving line of credit, and it's taking out an additional secured loan for $7 billion. There's also another $3 billion unsecured loan.

Secured debt means that the issuers can seize assets if Ford defaults. That puts Ford bondholders and stockholders, which are unsecured, at a considerable disadvantage should the company file for bankruptcy.

That's because in the food chain of bankruptcy, the secured loans get paid first; the unsecured bondholders rank second; and the stockholders, third.

For example, Fitch Ratings tells The Chicago Tribune that unsecured bondholders can expect to recover just 34 percent of their investment if Ford defaults, compared to 68 percent before the new financing deal was made. Standard & Poor's and Moody's both lowered Ford's unsecured debt ratings on Monday.

"If management fails to make the ailing company profitable, Ford may be left with little choice but to find a buyer or merger partner or file for bankruptcy protection," explains The New York Times.

The good news is that experts say Ford's new cash flow could buy it at least two years before being forced into bankruptcy, according to reports.

"Ford has bought itself some additional time and money," Shelley Lombard of the bond-analysis firm Gimme Credit tells the Tribune, "but it still has to execute."

"Completing this financing would considerably strengthen Ford's ability to fund the large cash requirements it will face through 2008," noted Moody's Investors Service.

And while Ford "still faces daunting competitive and market challenges, this plan would give it some breathing room over the next two years," said Moody's.

But Ford lost about $7 billion in the first nine months of this year. At this pace, the company will have less than two years to stage its turnaround. In addition, the company says it doesn't expect to turn a profit until 2009 at the earliest, reports the Times.

Ford should use this opportunity to get its turnaround plan in gear.

Editor's Note:


2. Home Prices Slide Once Again

Sales of existing homes posted a tiny increase in October but the median home price fell by a record amount.

Analysts forecast more price declines in coming months as the once-booming housing market undergoes a painful correction.

The National Association of Realtors said Tuesday that existing home sales edged up 0.5 percent to a seasonally adjusted annual rate of 6.24 million last month. It was the first increase after seven consecutive monthly declines.

However, the median price for a home sold dropped to $221,000 in October, a decline of 3.5 percent from a year ago. That was the biggest year-over-year price decline on record.

It marked the third straight month that median prices have fallen compared with the same period a year ago, the longest stretch of such declines on record. The median is the point where half the homes sold for more and half for less.

David Lereah, chief economist for the National Association of Realtors, said he expected home prices to continue falling for the rest of the year as sellers, accustomed to the booming market conditions of previous years, reluctantly cut their prices.

"Many buyers remain on the sidelines," Lereah said. "After a period of price adjustment, we'll see more confidence in the market and a lift to home sales should be apparent in the first quarter of 2007."

The once-booming housing market, which had been one of the economy's standout performers for the past five years, has experienced a significant slowdown this year, which has dragged down overall economic growth.

Some analysts have worried that the correction in housing could be severe enough to drag the entire country into a recession. However, those fears have eased in recent months as a big fall in gasoline and other energy prices has provided support for consumer spending.

For October, sales were down 2.9 percent in the Northeast and 1.2 percent in the South. However, they rose by 6.4 percent in the West and were unchanged in the Midwest.

The inventory of unsold homes rose by 1.9 percent in October to 3.85 million units, the second highest total on record. It would take 7.4 months to exhaust the backlog of unsold homes at the October sales pace.

Analysts predicted further price declines with inventories of both existing and new homes hovering near record levels.

By region of the country, median prices were down the most in the South, a drop of 7 percent followed by declines of 5.2 percent in the Northeast and 1.2 percent in the Midwest.

Lereah said the big price decline in the South could represent not only sellers adjusting their asking prices, but also a changing mix of sales with lower-priced areas of the South such as Texas seeing an increase in sales, while high-priced areas such as the Washington, D.C., area and Florida still suffering sales declines.

© 2006 Associated Press

Editor's Note:


3. Forbes: World's Super Rich Call London Home

The world's super rich flock to London more than any other city in the world, says Forbes Magazine. Though New York has more billionaires, most of them are homegrown.

London is home to billionaires from places like India, Iceland, and South Africa. Of the 23 billionaires living in London, 12 are British. Forbes says London's appeal lies in its accessibility, stability, low taxation, and the global standing of city institutions.

"Low taxation is a big attraction. It is not stretching a point too far to say that for the super-rich, London is a tax haven," says Forbes' Paul Maidment. "The U.K.'s tax laws contain provisions that enable non-British-born individuals who live in London for some but not all the time to be taxed only on their U.K. earnings."

"There are elegant shops, luxurious private clubs and good schools for the children, all expensive enough to keep the riff-raff at bay," he added.

According Maidment, "Many cities vie for the title of the world's capital, but London still attracts the elite of the world's rich and successful. And it can lay claim unchallenged to one title: It is the magnet for the world's billionaires."

Lakshmi Mittal is London's richest resident. The Indian steel mogul is the world's fifth-richest person with an estimated fortune of $23.5 billion.

Russian Roman Abramovich, who owns the Chelsea Football Club, London's second-richest person. Abramovich is the world's 11th-richest person with an estimated wealth of $18.2 billion.

Russian-American oil magnate Leonard Blavatnik and Heineken-heiress Charlene de Carvalho-Heineken are third and fourth on London's richest list.

"Billionaires are, by nature, a peripatetic lot. They can afford to own property on many continents, and do. Their business interests and their investments are global," says Maidment.

"Their money travels the world as much as they do. On any day of the year, they are as likely to be in London or New York or Shanghai or Monaco. In a sense, they are citizens of no country but the self-contained universe of the super wealthy. Yet they do have to have the occasional points of contact with the rest of the world. London offers them a welcoming ecosystem," he continued.

New York has 34 billionaires, mainly Americans. Moscow and San Francisco have 20 billionaires in their midst.

Editor's Note:


4. Durable Goods Orders Plunge

Orders for big-ticket manufactured goods plunged in October by the largest amount in more than six years, in another sign of a slowing economy.

The Commerce Department reported Tuesday that demand for durable goods fell a larger-than-expected 8.3 percent last month to a seasonally adjusted $210 billion, reflecting a big drop in demand for commercial airplanes, a category that had soared in September.

It marked the third month in the past four that orders have either fallen or shown no gain, providing evidence that the nation's factories are beginning to feel the impact of the slowdown in the overall economy.

The 8.3 percent drop in orders for durable goods, items such as airplanes and autos that are expected to last at least three years, was the largest one-month decline since a 14 percent plunge in July 2000. It followed an 8.7 percent surge in September.

Both October and September were heavily influenced by demand for commercial aircraft, which fell by 44.5 percent last month after airplane orders had nearly tripled in September.

Overall, orders in transportation industries dropped 21.7 percent as a small 1.4 percent increase in demand for motor vehicles was not enough to offset the big drop in aircraft.

There was widespread weakness in a number of industries with demand for computers, communication equipment and primary metals such as steel all falling.

Excluding transportation, orders were down 1.7 percent, the biggest decline in 15 months and the third drop in this category in the past four months.

After starting the year at a sizzling pace, economic growth slowed sharply in the spring and summer as consumers were battered by soaring energy prices, rising interest rates and a slumping housing market.

The government on Wednesday will release a revised figure for economic growth in the July-September quarter. Many economists were forecasting a slight upward revision to a 1.8 percent growth rate in the third quarter compared to an initial estimate of 1.6 percent.

The slump in housing trimmed growth by 1.1 percentage point in the third quarter and economists believe that weakness will also pull down growth in the final three months of this year.

Editor's Note:


Editor's Notes:

109-109