Bad news for Hillary Clinton and Newt Gingrich, according to the latest Zogby International poll.
With the actual voting still a long way into the future, more than half of the American electorate has already made up its mind about who they won’t be casting ballots for in 2008.
A full 53 percent said they would never vote for Newt Gingrich, even as the Georgia firebrand continues to mull a jump into the field of Republican presidential candidates, a new Zogby International telephone poll shows.
The leading Democrat in the race can’t feel much solace – nearly half (46 percent) said they have an aversion to voting for New York Sen. Hillary Clinton.
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In a national Zogby telephone survey of likely Democratic primary voters in late February, Clinton led the field of Democratic presidential candidates at 33 percent. It’s no surprise Clinton has been written off by a vast majority of self-described conservative (70 percent) and very conservative (79 percent) voters, but even among moderate voters, 42 percent said they would never cast a vote to put Clinton into the White House.
Another potential candidate attracting a high percentage of antipathy is Al Gore – 43 percent said they would never vote for the former vice president and 2000 presidential candidate. While Gore has not officially jumped into the 2008 presidential fray, his documentary "An Inconvenient Truth” has kept his name in the headlines as opposing sides clash over global warming. Gore may also have some trouble wooing moderate voters – 39 percent have already made up their mind they would never vote Gore in 2008.
The telephone survey, which asked likely voters to indicate who they would never vote for from a field of 10 potential and declared presidential candidates, was conducted nationwide from March 7-9, 2007 and carries a margin of error of +/- 3.1 percentage points.
The war in Iraq shows all signs that it will still be a significant issue in 2008, and candidates are busy shaping their campaigns to reflect their pro- or anti-war stance. While more than half (54 percent) of households with members currently serving or having served in the military – or who have other family members with current or prior military service – said they would never vote for Gingrich, the military vote could also spell trouble for Clinton and Gore. Half said they would never vote for Clinton and 46 percent would never vote for Gore.
Overall, around a third of voters said they would never vote for the other two Democratic Presidential frontrunners – 35 percent would never cast a ballot for John Edwards and 33 percent said they could never support Barack Obama. Among Democrats, 18 percent would never cast a vote in Clinton’s favor, 19 percent would never vote for Obama and 20 percent would never vote for Edwards.
There is similar voter resistance to the top declared Republican candidates – 39 percent said they wouldn’t vote for Mitt Romney, while 32 percent would never vote for John McCain and 31 percent for Rudy Giuliani. Among Republicans, 20 percent said they would never help Giuliani win the presidency, while 24 percent felt the same about McCain and 34 percent about Romney.