As President Bush prepares to address the country in the annual State of the Union,
less than one-third (31 percent) of U.S. adults rate the current state of the
country as "good," while 69 percent believe it is "poor." Men are more
likely to have a favorable perspective, with 37 percent believing the
current state of the country is "good," compared to only 26 percent of
women, creating an interesting gender gap.
As one might expect, a partisan difference exists: only 10 percent of
Democrats and 27 percent of Independents believe the state of the country
is "good." Interestingly, Republicans are not overwhelmingly pleased with
things either, as just over half (57 percent) of them say the state of the country
is "good."
These are the results of a nationwide Harris Poll of 2,337 U.S. adults
surveyed online between January 11 and 18, 2006 by Harris Interactive.
One reason for the general state of disquiet in the country may be that
there is a negative perception of the state on many specific issues. More
than half (58 percent) of adults believe that the war on terrorism is going
poorly, while six in 10 (60 percent) believe the same about the strengthening of
the economy -- and these are the two things perceived to be going the best
on our list. Almost two-thirds (65 percent) of adults believe rebuilding the Gulf
Coast is going poorly, while 72 percent say the same of making prescription
drugs affordable and 73 percent say this about making taxes more fair.
At the very bottom of the list are the war in Iraq (78 percent say it is going
poorly), strengthening Social Security (80 percent say it is going poorly) and
improving immigration policy (81 percent say it is going poorly).
Overall, there is not a great deal of change in perceptions from 2006,
with one major exception. In 2006, 30 percent of adults said the war in
Iraq was going excellent or pretty good. This year, that number is down to
just 19 percent.
Looking specifically to what President Bush should emphasize in the
State of the Union address, about half (51 percent) say the war in Iraq is one of
two issues that are most important to hear about Tuesday evening. This is
followed by strengthening the economy (33 percent), the war on terrorism (29 percent),
improving immigration policy (25 percent) and strengthening Social Security (20 percent).
While all four generations believe the war in Iraq is one of the two
most important issues for the President to emphasize, there is a difference
in opinion further down the list. Baby Boomers (those ages 43 to 61) are
more likely than Echo Boomers (ages 18 to 30) and Gen Xers (ages 31 to 42)
to believe strengthening Social Security is one of the two most important
issues to emphasize (26 percent, as compared to 15percent and 18 percent, respectively). Over
one-third (35 percent) of Matures (those ages 62 and over) say improving
immigration policy is important for President Bush to emphasize while
almost one-quarter (24 percent) of Baby Boomers and just 19 percent of Echo
Boomers feel the same way.
There are also partisan differences, but surprisingly they are not that
dramatic. For example, all three partisan groups believe the war in Iraq
should be emphasized, but almost six in 10 Democrats (59 percent) say so as
compared to just under half of Republicans and Independents (48 percent and 49 percent
respectively). Republicans are more likely than Democrats to say that the
war on terrorism should be emphasized (42 percent versus 19 percent) while Democrats are
more likely than Republicans to say strengthening Social Security should be
emphasized (25 percent versus 17 percent).
The difference of opinions on Iraq between 2006 and 2007 is noteworthy.
In 2006, 51 percent of adults said strengthening the economy was one of the
two most important issues followed by 32 percent who said the war in Iraq.
One year later, the numbers flip -- 51 percent say it is Iraq and 33
percent say it is the economy. One wonders if people feel the economy is
doing that much better or is the situation in Iraq that much worse.
Finally, we asked adults if they will watch the State of the Union.
Just over one-third (36 percent) say they will watch it, while 38 percent say
maybe and 27 percent say no. Republicans are more likely to support
President Bush, with just under half (48 percent) of members of the President's
party saying they will watch Tuesday night, compared to 36 percent of
Independents and 28 percent of Democrats.