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Joe Negron Can Win Foley Seat
Few political observers thought the Republicans had a chance to hold on to Rep. Mark Foley’s seat when the congressman was forced to resign over a House page scandal.
But Joe Negron, the man who replaced Foley on the ballot, has now pulled virtually even with his Democratic opponent, Tim Mahoney, some insiders say. The National Republican Congressional Committee is spending nearly $2 million to bolster Negron’s campaign, and Florida Gov. Jeb Bush has been campaigning at his side.
"I know this district, and we are not going to allow ourselves to be defined by the disgraceful actions of our former congressman,” Negron told the New York Times.
The district, which stretches across the state, favors the GOP – 42 percent of voters are Republicans and 36 percent are Democrats – and George Bush won the district easily in 2000 and 2004.
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A mid-October poll for the South Florida Sun-Sentinel showed Mahoney – a financier and political newcomer – with a 48 percent to 41 percent lead over Negron, a member of the Florida House.
But more recently, nonpartisan Congressional handicappers Stuart Rothenberg and Charlie Cook said momentum was shifting and they now rated the race a tossup, the Times reports.
Voters opting for Negron will have to "vote” for Foley, whose name remains on the ballot due to the last-minute change. But Rothenberg doubts that will have a major impact on the race, according to the Times, and notes that Mahoney has begun attacking Negron by name in TV ads, a sign, he said, that Mahoney is worried.
Editor's note:
Read more on this subject in related Hot Topics: Inside Cover Stories
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