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Monday, Oct. 10, 2005 8:16 p.m. EDT

Morris: McCain, Giuliani Can't Win GOP Nomination

In a scene sure to send chills down the spines of Republicans everywhere, Dick Morris and Eileen McGann begin their new book, "Condi vs. Hillary: the Next Great Presidential Race," with the former first lady taking the presidential oath of office on January 20, 2009.

"By her side, smiling broadly and holding the family Bible will be her chief strategist, husband and co-president, William Jefferson Clinton," they note, lest anyone forget the full implications of such a scene.

But like Dickens' "Christmas Carol," the Morris-McGann tome warns of a dark future that might yet be avoided - if Republicans realize in time that Secretary of State Condoleezza Rice is America's last best hope to avoid a third Clinton administration.

Debuting the book Monday on Sean Hannity's ABC Radio show, Morris said polls showing that either Rudy Giuliani or John McCain could defeat Mrs. Clinton in 2008 are misleading.

Certainly Giuliani could defeat Hillary in the general election, but he's "way too left" on social issues to prevail in GOP primaries.

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McCain has a similar primary problem, as someone who polls show defeating Clinton handily in a national race - but who's such a maverick that "Republicans just don't like him," Morris said.

Condeleezza Rice, said Morris, is the one GOP candidate who could lock up the primaries and counter Mrs. Clinton's built-in advantage with key demographic groups like blacks and women.

Citing the predictions of prominent African-Americans like former Congressman Mike Espy and Amsterdam News publisher Jamal Watson, Morris said that a Rice presidential bid would garner 50 percent of the black vote.

That kind of erosion would cripple the presidential chances of any Democratic candidate, who will need 90 percent of the black vote just to break even.

Morris argues that Condi would also close the gap with another critical Democratic demographic - white women, who are otherwise expected to vote for Hillary in droves. What about Hillary's highly touted credentials as one of the hundred smartest lawyers in the country - not to mention her status as the 'first' first lady to win high elective office?

Clinton's accomplishments start to fade when compared to Dr. Rice's, noted Morris. He says Condi didn't depend on her husband's coattails to make her way up the career ladder.

"Hillary gets hired by the Rose Law firm the year her husband becomes Arkansas attorney general," he told Hannity. "She makes partner the year her husband becomes governor. She becomes first lady when her husband becomes president."

"Throughout Hillary's entire career, it's her husband leading the way," Morris noted. "With Condi Rice, it's Condi leading the way."

Morris touted Rice's credentials as a self-made woman, first as provost of Stanford University and then as a top foreign policy advisor in both the Bush 41 and 43 administrations.

"When you look at these two women," he said, "you see that this is a woman who made it on her own."

Morris dismisses Rice's current protestations that she's not interested in a White House run, saying, "I'm absolutely certain she'll be president."

In fact, it would look untoward for Rice to be seen openly coveting the ultimate promotion with so much already on her plate. A Condi candidacy, as Morris envisions it, would be a grass-roots affair, with hundreds of 'Rice for President' clubs springing up around the country as Americans realize her presidential potential - and weigh the frightening alternative.

Morris paints an ominous picture if Rice sits out 2008 with a chapter titled, "President Hillary: How it Can Happen." George Bush was re-elected, he notes, largely because he carried the vote among white females who saw him as a bulwark of strength and security in the post-9/11 world. But Hillary, he said, would be certain to flip the gender equation, noting that Clinton won her first Senate race with a 22 percent margin among women - in a twelve point overall landslide. "The person who I think should stop and could stop Hillary Clinton is Condoleezza Rice," said Morris.

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