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From the NewsMax.com Staff
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Monday, Aug. 2, 2004

New York Times: Where's Kerry's 15-Point Bounce?

You bet we saved a certain article from Thursday's New York Times, the one speculating on how much the Democrat convention would boost John Kerry.

Some pundits had guesstimated a 6-point jump, but the Times quoted President Bush's pollster Matthew Dowd. He noted that "in the five races in the last 30 years in which a challenger went against a sitting president, the average convention bounce was in the neighborhood of 15 percentage points."

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Democrats, knowing that Kerry wouldn't get anything close to that, said the figure was twisted because Bill Clinton got a 16-point bounce when his "independent" stooge Ross Perot withdrew (temporarily) during the Democrat convention in 1992.

The pro-Kerry paper then quoted Democrat chairman Terry McAuliffe as predicting the nominee would gain 8 to 10 percentage points in polls after Boston.

How embarrassing, then, that the tedious non-event instead helped President Bush.

Editor's note:

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    Read more on this subject in related Hot Topics:
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