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Tuesday, Dec. 28, 2004 7:14 a.m. EST

Morris: How Hillary Becomes President in '08

Longtime presidential strategist Dick Morris had words of caution yesterday for those who say Hillary Clinton can't generate the kind of national support she needs to put herself back in White House in 2008.

Not only will Sen. Clinton win her party's nomination in a walk, the former Clinton adviser contends, her chances of beating the GOP four years from now are "superb."

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  "She's so far ahead of Kerry and Edwards and any other possible nominee in the primaries that there really won't be a primary," Morris told Sean Hannity radio fill-in Dave Stone.

"The problem is," added the top consultant, "she has an awfully good chance of winning the election."

Explained Morris:

"She generates black turnout that's about 10 points higher than [John] Kerry got. So that's one extra point for the Democratic Party.

"She probably is going to restore the Hispanic margin to 30 points, as opposed to the 10-point margin Kerry had. That's two points extra for the Democrats.

"And she'll probably carry single women by 4-to-1. Kerry carried them by 2-to-1. So that's another two points [for the Dems]."

That's five points' worth of support the Democrats didn't get in this year's vote - enough to trump President Bush's 51 percent to 49 percent margin of victory.

The questions is, can the GOP squeeze out another three points from its base?

Morris said he doesn't see how, noting, "In most areas the Republicans pretty well maxed out in their turnout."

His conclusion: "I think Hillary has a superb chance to win."

Are there no Republican candidates on the horizon who can stop the former first lady?

Morris named three possibilities: Rudy Giuliani, Colin Powell and Condoleezza Rice.

Giuliani, however, won't be able to win the GOP nomination, said Morris, because of his socially liberal stance on issues like abortion, gun control and gay marriage.

What about Powell?

"I don't think Powell can win [the nomination]," the one-time Clinton political guru said. "I think people have gotten very annoyed at him in the Republican base during his service as secretary of state."

Powell's replacement at State, however, has a better chance.

"Condoleezza Rice takes the black base and she takes the female base that's absolutely essential for Hillary's victory."

Said Morris: "Rice is the only person who can stop Hillary Clinton from being president."

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