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Giuliani Wins, Romney in the Crosshairs Dick Morris & Eileen McGann To understand the presidential debate on Tuesday night in South Carolina, think of a tennis tournament. There are quarter-finals, semi-finals, and finals. The GOP debate featured two quarter final matches. In the left court, battling for the moderate Republican nomination, were Rudy Giuliani and John McCain. In the right court, competing for the conservative Republican nomination, were the seven card-carrying conservatives — Romney, Huckabee, Brownback, Gilmore, Hunter, Tancredo and Thompson — as well as the two candidates who weren't even there, Fred Thompson and Newt Gingrich. The winner of the Giuliani-McCain match and the nine-way conservative quarter finals will meet in the semi-finals on Feb. 5, 2008, in America's first ever national primary. Rudy won against McCain in straight sets by his brilliant focus on terrorism. When he looked around the stage and said, "I really think that I have more experience with security issues than anyone on this platform," the debate was effectively over. McCain's obtuse answer about what he called torture, and what the others called aggressive interrogation, helped seal his fate that night. Does McCain really believe that al-Qaida will exercise restraint if we don't waterboard terror suspects? But the most interesting contest on Tuesday night was among the seven pygmies trying to get into the first tier and to pre-empt Thompson and Gingrich from running.
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Entering the debate, the front-runner in this match was Mitt Romney. This should have been Romney's time to make a move. He had $12 million in the bank as of March 31. He got the cover of Time magazine, a segment on "60 Minutes," and he's already buying ads on the FOX News Channel. Some national polls show him finally breaking into double digits for the first time. But FOX News' Wendell Golar pinned Romney's ears back with his aggressive questioning, challenging him on his history of flip-flop-flips over abortion. Like many Mormons, Romney was pro-choice as he entered politics, but, when facing a race for Sen. against Ted Kennedy, and then a contest for governor of Massachusetts, he trimmed his sails and tacked to the left, coming out for choice. "I will protect a woman's right to choose," he opined. Romney says that his change was driven by the tragedy of a relative who died following an illegal abortion, but many suspect him of an "even numbered year conversion," as McCain put it. Then, when he decided to run for the Republican nomination for president, he had another conversion . . . this time back to pro-life. Again, this switch was not caused by any political consideration, but by his work on stem-cell research which convinced him that we are too ready to dispose of embryos and human life.
Nobody with half a brain will buy his story that these flips and flops were not politically motivated. Now, with Romney — impaired in his mission to become "The Great Right Hope" — taking on the winner of Giuliani-McCain, who will fill the void on the right? If not Romney, do we need to wait for Fred Thompson or Newt Gingrich? But as Fred dithers and Newt delays, the vacuum becomes more galling.
Was anybody watching? You bet. Two million viewers tuned in. And if that doesn't sound like a lot, consider that the total turnout in the Republican primaries will probably not top 7 million!
Copyright Dick Morris & Eileen McGann 2007
Editor's note:
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