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Oil Hits $72 - $80 on the Way?
MoneyNews
Thursday, April 20, 2006

(Headlines - scroll down for full stories)
1. Fed Minutes, Solid Earnings Ease Market Fears
2. Oil Hits $72 - $80 on the Way?
3. Some Good News for GM … Finally
4. Buffett Delves Into Renewable Energy


1. Fed Minutes, Solid Earnings Ease Market Fears

On Monday it seemed that the stock market could be in for a rough week.

Among factors working against it: rising energy prices, an uncertain earnings picture and the possibility that the recently released minutes of late March's Federal Reserve meeting would indicate a continuation of interest rate hikes.

Well, energy prices have indeed risen - as crude prices soared north of $72 a barrel on Wednesday.

Story Continues Below

 

Hit Americans in the pocketbook, and they sit up and pay attention. Consequently, rising energy prices will continue to take center stage in the U.S. economy and in the financial markets.

However, this week, better-than-expected corporate earnings and the FOMC minutes led many to believe that the Fed might consider ending the rate hikes if inflation remains manageable.

In early Wednesday trading, stocks looked like they would trend downward after the U.S. Labor Department announced that consumer prices had risen at the fastest rate in a year. And news that oil prices were cresting to record highs didn't help matters.

But inflation anxiety dissipated, triggering the market's biggest gain since April 2005, as minutes from the Fed's latest policy meeting showed rate increases could end soon.

Meanwhile, U.S. stocks ended the day way up:

  • The Standard & Poor's 500 Index rose 2.28 - or 0.2% - to 1309.93, after a 1.7% hike on Tuesday. The Dow average gained 0.1%, to 11,278.77.
  • The Nasdaq Composite Index rose 14.74 - or 0.6% - to 2370.88 - a level not seen since February 2001. About 42% of its value is comprised of technology companies.
  • The Russell 2000 Index rose 1.1% to 778.42. The index has gained 3.9% this week, marking the best one-week gain since November 2002.

"Earnings have been very strong for companies across the board, so it's a nice environment for the market as long as the Fed is done with their tightening," Gus Sauter told Bloomberg News on Wednesday. He oversees $450 billion as chief investment officer at Pennsylvania-based Vanguard Group Inc.

According to Bloomberg, 24 S&P 500 companies have issued quarterly results over the past three days, and 14 of those firms have seen their stock prices go up in that time period.

During that time, 1.75 billion shares changed hands on the New York Stock Exchange - 6.2% more than the three-month daily average.

Here's a rundown of some of the companies that reported earnings this week:

  • Texas Instruments Inc. climbed 45 cents to $34.45. The company said first-quarter revenue increased to $3.33 billion as sales surged in China and India. In a Thomson survey, analysts expected $3.29 billion. This quarter, profit will be somewhere from $0.38 to $0.43 a share - higher than the $0.36 that analysts had forecast.
  • Yahoo rose $2.24 - or 7.2% - to $33.54 for the third-largest advance in the S&P 500 and its biggest rally since April 2004. Yahoo's first-quarter profit rose 16% to $159.9 million. Net sales, which reflect the cost of selling ads on other sites, were $1.09 billion, beating the $1.08 billion forecast by Wall Street analysts.
  • United Technologies jumped $3.90 - or 6.6% - to $62.80 for the top performance in the Dow average. Its first-quarter profit rose 18% to $768 million, or 76 cents a share. Analysts expected 73 cents a share, according to Thomson Financial. The company also raised its 2006 profit forecast.

Editor's Note:

  • Discover the five most powerful wealth-building trends and the life-changing effect they could have on your portfolio in the year ahead. Go here now.

2. Oil Hits $72 - $80 on the Way?

According to Bloomberg and other news outlets, crude oil for May delivery rose to a record $72.40 a barrel in New York after the U.S. Energy Department said oil and gasoline inventories had declined.

The news boosted oil and energy stocks - Valero Energy Corp., the largest U.S. oil refiner, saw its stock price rise $1.54 to $68.99.

And according to experts, Americans shouldn't expect oil prices to come down anytime soon. The U.S. Energy Department this week said that gasoline could easily reach $3 per gallon this summer. Says Paul Lawrence Vann of Laurel Wreath Communications, and a former Capital Hill staffer, "The oil problem America is faced with today is directly related to the war in Iraq. The oil ministers who represent OPEC know they can't militarily defeat the U.S. and Great Britain, but they hold the cards and the key to oil, and lots of it. As a former financial analyst with Mobil Chemical Company, I know the oil companies are simply passing on the risk associated with protecting the reserves and the shipment of oil products to our shores. ExxonMobil made $10 billion during one quarter of 2005, which, by the way, was the height of oil prices just after the hurricane season. Legislation alone will not decrease oil prices - alternative fuel sources are the answer."

And other experts agree.

Energy economics expert Lester Lave, professor of economics at the Tepper School of Business at Carnegie Mellon University, says the only thing that will bring gas prices down over the long-term is further development and use of alternatives to petroleum (such as ethanol and plug hybrids).

"Unless Americans drive less and reduce demand," says Lave, "high gas prices will certainly continue. And while many petroleum companies have been reluctant to put billions of dollars toward alternative energy facilities, fearing that OPEC will slash prices, only a commitment to increased fuel efficiency holds the key to relief for the nation and consumers at the pump." 

Editor's Note:

  • You probably know Wayne Rogers the actor. But he is also an exceptionally accomplished investor who recommended Valero Energy to FIR subscribers more than a year ago. The stock's value soared over 353%! Read our exclusive interview with Wayne and discover his predictions for the markets in 2006 and beyond. Get your report immediately.

3. Some Good News for GM … Finally

In recent months, General Motors has taken quite a beating in the media. Here at MoneyNews, we have chronicled the auto giant's struggles with declining profits, loss of market share, rising health-care costs and job-cutting woes.

It is obvious that the once-mighty automotive manufacturer has been in the depths of a serious malaise so far in 2006.

But GM got some good news yesterday, as the firm posted an operating profit in the first quarter of 2006.

"The embattled automaker reported that it earned $152 million, or 26 cents a share, excluding all special items in the period, such as a $1 billion pre-tax charge related to an agreement to change health-care coverage for hourly retirees and their families," says CNNMoney.

General Motors stock price jumped after the news, gaining 73 cents - or 3.5% - in pre-market trading after the company announced its quarterly numbers.

Of course, not all the news was positive.

GM recorded an operating loss of $529 million, or 94 cents a share. But that's still better than 2005, when GM lost $988 million - $1.75 a share - excluding special items from a year earlier. The company also announced an adjusted loss of $721 million on the quarter from its auto operations, including $484 million from recent charges related to benefit settlements.

"North American auto operations lost $946 million in the first quarter of 2006, including the health care charge," adds CNN. "Still that was an improvement from the adjusted loss of $1.5 billion at that operation a year ago."

Meanwhile, the company's European operations returned to profitability, as did its enterprises in the Asian-Pacific region, Latin America, Africa and the Middle East.

"We're pleased to see the significant progress in our first-quarter results and in the implementation of all four elements of our North American turnaround plan," GM Chairman and CEO Rick Wagoner said in the company's statement.

"And we remain focused on accelerating our return to profitability and cash generation. There is clearly more work to be done," Wagoner added.

"Our next key priority is to reach a consensual agreement with Delphi and its unions that makes sense for all of the parties. The agreement we recently reached with the UAW on the attrition program is a significant step in achieving this objective, but there is more important work to do."

Editor's Note:

  • Last year, Sir John Templeton, the man Money magazine calls the greatest stock picker of the century, let us in on a secret. He raved about stock in an Asian car company that he called 'the next GM.' Get the details on this automaker and much more. Go here now.

4. Buffett Delves Into Renewable Energy

Warren Buffett-owned MidAmerican Energy Co., the largest utility in Iowa, has won approval to construct a cluster of wind turbines capable of producing up to 545 megawatts of energy - enough to power approximately 200,000 homes.

The green light from state regulators will allow Buffett's firm to double the current electricity production garnered from wind turbines.

Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway purchased MidAmerican in 1999 for $9.14 billion and has since injected $2.7 billion into the company's efforts to lay almost 18,00 miles of natural gas pipelines throughout the United States.

Now "MidAmerican is using wind turbines to comply with an Iowa requirement that utilities in the state have 1,000 megawatts of generating capacity from renewable sources by 2010," according to Bloomberg News.

"The Des Moines, Iowa-based utility operates more wind turbines than any other regulated utility, with 360.5 megawatts of capacity completed last year. Record oil prices are accelerating the push for new forms of energy."

In addition to wind-powered energy, "demand for fuels made from corn, sugar and soybeans will quadruple in the next three decades - a period when oil use will increase by less than 60%, the International Energy Agency estimates," Bloomberg reports.

Vinod Khosla is the founder of Sun Microsystems, the world's fourth-largest maker of computer servers for networks. He is now sinking his own money into ethanol fuel research.

"Ethanol is a huge market," Khosla told Bloomberg. "I think it can replace all of our petroleum needs, or at least a majority. That creates a very big opportunity that's very susceptible to technology." Editor's Note:

  • Think it's too late to invest in the energy sector? Think again. Buffett is planning to invest an additional $10 to $15 billion there. Discover the top two companies that are getting the lion's share. Learn more.

Editor's Notes:

  • Discover the five most powerful wealth-building trends and the life-changing effect they could have on your portfolio in the year ahead. Go here now.
  • You probably know Wayne Rogers the actor. But he is also an exceptionally accomplished investor who recommended Valero Energy to FIR subscribers more than a year ago. The stock's value soared over 353%! Read our exclusive interview with Wayne and discover his predictions for the markets in 2006 and beyond. Get your report immediately.
  • Last year, Sir John Templeton, the man Money magazine calls the greatest stock picker of the century, let us in on a secret. He raved about stock in an Asian car company that he called 'the next GM.' Get the details on this automaker and much more. Go here now.
  • Think it's too late to invest in the energy sector? Think again. Buffett is planning to invest an additional $10 to $15 billion there. Discover the top two companies that are getting the lion's share. Learn more.

  • Silent infections and "sleeper germs" may be the hidden culprit behind the chronic diseases that eventually kill most of us - and our loved ones. Go here now.


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