President Bush Was Warned About New Orleans
Susan Estrich
Friday, Sept. 2, 2005
Poor Robert Kennedy Jr. Maybe because his father died when he
was a kid, no one taught him that you're supposed to wait until after the
first funerals - or at least until after the president declares the subject
to be beyond politics - before you start blaming him for the manmade
aspects of a natural disaster.
By jumping the gun, and hitting the president before the flood
waters had even broken through, the former attorney general's son not only
gave conservatives an excuse to attack his timing rather than respond on the
merits to his charges about wetlands and the Kyoto Accords, but missed what
might turn out to be the worst failings the Bush administration will be
forced to confront.
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Ditto for Sidney Blumenthal, the former Clinton attack dog, who
was busy pointing out that the Bush administration had cut the budget for
flood control efforts for New Orleans - notwithstanding years of dire
warnings that a serious storm could result in devastating floods - because
of the deficits caused by the Iraq war.
Of course, they're both right. That's why the president is so
determined to keep politics out of this. You know when you see the president
on "Good Morning America" decrying efforts to politicize a natural disaster,
and turning to the bipartisan dynamic duo of George H.W. Bush and Bill
Clinton, that he is in major political trouble.
To expect the Democrats not to exploit this is absurd. Imagine
the situation were the opposite. Imagine Bill Clinton were president, and he
had ignored a FEMA report four years earlier predicting just this disaster,
and cut funding over the last five years by 40-plus percent, and then sat on
vacation and waited while the mayor and the governor pleaded for help, while
people died and folks were huddling with no power and no running water,
fearing for their lives. Do you think the Republicans would blame him? With
a midterm election looming? With any number of senators potentially running
for president?
Especially when there is reason for blame.
What will this commission find?
They will find that, once again, the president was specifically
warned. There was a report in 2001 from FEMA with a specific warning that a
major hurricane in New Orleans was one of the three most likely disasters
the country faced.
They will find that we were unprepared. Last year, the Army
Corps of Engineers' funding request for the New Orleans District to hold
back the waters of Lake Pontchartrain was reported to have been cut by more
than 80 percent -- and additional cuts at the beginning of this year brought
the total reduction in funding to 44.2 percent since 2001, according to
Blumenthal. This led the New Orleans district to impose a freeze on hiring
and the local paper (whose presses are now underwater) to do a series on the
federal funding and preparedness crisis.
They may also find, if they aren't partisan, that environmental
policies contributed to the impact, including the administration's policy of
giving wetlands over to developers. Reducing wetlands isn't some abstract
environmental issue -- wetlands reduce the surge of water in a storm. Every
two miles of wetland reduces a surge by half a foot. It was Bush's father
who began the policy of conserving wetlands, and Bush had promised "no net
loss" of wetlands -- but he changed his mind in 2003.
That's not even getting into the global warming issue, and the
growing evidence of the impact of the rising temperature of the oceans on
the severity of hurricanes.
But this time, they may also find that it took reporters and
columnists and photographers and cameramen to force the president to leave
Crawford, to get Condi Rice off Broadway, where she was seeing a show; that
hundreds died who could have been rescued because they lacked basic
necessities, that people were forced to live like animals in this land of
plenty, that those people were overwhelmingly poor and black, and that this
administration did much less than it could have for several days -- and, of
course, ultimately could do much less before and after, because of the war
in Iraq.
Jack Shafer in Slate asks why no one is mentioning race and
class. Good manners. Like not being partisan, or waiting until the funerals
are over. Those of us who fret over earthquakes have always known two
things. The greatest danger of disasters is not the immediate impact, but
their aftermath. And the aftermath is where planning (read money, read
class, read race) counts. Whose house is reinforced? Whose do you think? Who
had cars to get out, and places to go? Who do you think? Who was left? Not
Bush voters. Of course it wasn't conscious. It just wasn't his mother.
Robert Kennedy Jr. wasn't wrong. He just jumped the gun. Hang in
there, Bobby. There will be plenty to sink your teeth into. They can run,
but this time, they can't hide.
COPYRIGHT 2005 CREATORS SYNDICATE INC.
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