Newsweek Poll Shows Kerry Won Debate
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Sunday, Oct. 3, 2004
NEW YORK -- Sixty-one percent of Americans who
watched the first presidential debate on September 30 say Sen. John Kerry won;
19 percent say President George W. Bush won and 16 percent say they tied,
according to the latest Newsweek Poll which was conducted after the debate
ended.
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Fifty-six percent say Kerry did better than they expected; 11 percent
say so for Bush. Thirty-eight percent say Bush did worse than expected; 3
percent say so for Kerry, the poll shows.
The debate erased the lead the Bush/Cheney ticket has held over
Kerry/Edwards in the Newsweek Poll since the Republican convention. In a
three-way trial heat including Ralph Nader/Peter Camejo, among registered
voters Kerry/Edwards leads Bush/Cheney 47 percent v. 45 percent with 2 percent
for Nader/Camejo. In a two-way heat, Kerry/Edwards leads 49 percent v. 46
percent for Bush/Cheney, the poll shows.
A 62-percent majority of viewers says Kerry seemed more confident and
self-assured (26% say so for Bush) and 51 percent say Kerry had better command
of issues and facts (37% for Bush). Forty-seven percent say Kerry seemed more
personally likeable (41 % for Bush) and 49 percent say Kerry came closer to
reflecting their own views on most foreign policy issues (43% for Bush).
The
two were nearly even on several other points, including who came across as a
strong leader (47% Kerry, 44% Bush) and who had a better plan for dealing with
the situation in Iraq (45% for both). Forty percent of viewers thought Kerry
was too wordy and 57 percent thought Bush was too repetitive.
Fifty-seven percent of all poll respondents say they are dissatisfied with
the way things are going in the United States at this time. Bush's job
approval rating dropped two points from the Sept. 9-10 Newsweek Poll to 46
percent-a 6-point drop since the poll taken during and after the Republican
convention.
Forty-eight percent of registered voters polled say they would not
like to see Bush re-elected but almost as many (46%) say they would.
Among registered voters, 60 percent say they know "a lot" about what Bush
stands for, compared to 38 percent who say so about Kerry, the poll shows.
During the debate, President Bush said the military would remain "an all-
volunteer army," but if Bush is re-elected, 38 percent of registered voters
say the draft is likely to be reinstated; 51 percent say it's not, according
to the poll. If Kerry is elected president, 18 percent say the draft is
likely to be reinstated; 67 percent say it is not. And 62 percent of
registered voters say reinstating the draft should not be considered at this
time; 28 percent say it should be considered.
A 60-percent majority of registered voters say Bush administration
policies and diplomatic efforts have led to more anti-Americanism around the
world and 51 percent say the administration has not done enough to involve
major allies and international organizations in trying to achieve its foreign
policy goals, the poll shows.
As for who will handle issues better overall, among registered voters Bush
leads Kerry 52 to 40 percent on terrorism and homeland security; the situation
in Iraq (49% vs. 44%); the situation involving Israel and the Palestinians
(46% vs. 39%) and controlling the spread of nuclear weapons (47% v. 43%).
Kerry scores better on the economy (52% vs. 39%); health care, including
Medicare (56% to 34%) and American jobs and foreign competition (54% vs. 36%),
the poll shows.
Overall, 62 percent say Bush has strong leadership qualities (compared to
56% who say so for Kerry). Sixty-six percent say Bush says what he believes,
not just what people want to hear, compared to 48 percent for Kerry. Sixty-
five percent say Bush is personally likeable (63% say so for Kerry). But more
registered voters (57%) say Kerry is honest and ethical (vs. 55% for Bush);
the same amount (51%) says they would trust Kerry to make the right decisions
during an international crisis as would trust Bush (51%); and more (57%) say
Kerry cares about people like them (vs. 49% for Bush). And 80 percent of
registered voters say Kerry is intelligent and well informed, compared to 59
percent for Bush.
On Iraq, 50 percent of registered voters polled say the war in Iraq was
not necessary; 46 percent say it was. And 55 percent of registered voters say
going to war in Iraq has not made Americans safer from terrorism; 41 percent
say it has. Fifty-one percent of registered voters say the Bush administration
misinterpreted or misanalyzed the intelligence reports it said indicated Iraq
had banned weapons; 41 percent say it didn't. And 45 percent say the
administration purposely misled the public about evidence that Iraq had banned
weapons in order to build support for the war; 50 percent say it did not.
During his 19-year career in the U.S. Senate, Kerry has changed his
position on a number of issues. From what they know about Kerry, 47 percent of
registered voters say this is because Kerry is thoughtful and changes position
as circumstances change or he learns more about an issue; the same number
(47%) say it's because Kerry is politically-motivated and changes his position
when he thinks it will improve his image or help him win an election.
(PRNewswire)
Editor's note:
Get the 2004 Bush vs. Kerry Poll Numbers before the White House! Click Here
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