NewsMax Staff
Wednesday, Jan. 21, 2004

Jan. 25: Boston Globe/WBZ-TV

Conducted Jan. 23-25, 400 likely voters, margin of error plus or minus 5 points (Results from Jan. 22-23 in parentheses)
John Kerry 38 (35)
Howard Dean 15 (15)
Wesley Clark 14 (14)
John Edwards 12 (12)
Joe Lieberman 7 (5)
Dennis Kucinich 1 (1)
Al Sharpton less than 1 (less than 1)
Undecided 14 (18)

Jan. 25: American Research Group

Conducted Jan. 22-24, 806 likely voters, margin of error plus or minus 4 points. (Results from Jan. 21-23 in parentheses)
Kerry, 38 (31)
Dean, 16 (20)
Clark, 17 (18)
Edwards, 15 (11)
Lieberman, 5 (7)
Kucinich, 1 (1)
Sharpton, less than 1 (less than 1)
Undecided, 8 (12)

Jan. 23: Suffolk University/WHDH-TV

Conducted Jan. 21-22, 400 likely voters, MoE plus or minus 5 points. (Results from Jan. 20-21 in parentheses)
Kerry 26 (27)
Dean 19 (19)
Clark 17 (15)
Edwards 7 (7)
Lieberman 5 (6)
Kucinich less than 1 (1)
Sharpton less than 1 (less than 1)
Undecided 26 (25)

Jan. 22: Boston Herald

John Kerry - 31%
Howard Dean - 21%
Wesley Clark - 16%
John Edwards - 11%
Joe Lieberman - 4%
Dennis Kucinich - 4%

The survey of 501 likely primary voters was conducted Tuesday and Wednesday. The poll, with a margin of error of plus or minus 4.4 percentage points, "is the first two-day primary voter sampling since last Monday's Iowa caucuses," the Herald reported. "The results mark a dramatic turnaround from a Herald survey published just eight days ago before Kerry's decisive Iowa win."

The big loser is Dean, who lead a week ago. "That odd speech in Iowa clearly hurt him," said pollster R. Kelly Myers. "At the same time, Kerry's decisive win in Iowa is clearly having a huge impact on New Hampshire."

Jan. 22: Boston Globe/WBZ tracking poll

John Kerry - 31%
Howard Dean - 21%
Wesley Clark - 16%
John Edwards - 11%
Joe Lieberman - 4%
Dennis Kucinich - 1%
Undecided - 16%

The survey of 400 probable primary voters surveyed Tuesday and Wednesday had a margin of error of plus or minus 5 percentage points. Note that the results for the top five candidates are identical to the poll taken by the rival Herald.

"The latest Boston Globe/WBZ tracking poll, which a day earlier had shown him 3 points ahead of Dean, a statistical dead heat, found that 19 percent of respondents were more likely to vote for Kerry after Iowa, while 19 percent said they were less likely to vote for Dean, whose disappointing third-place finish was followed by a concession speech that has been fodder for talk radio and late-night television hosts," the Globe reported today.

Gerry Chervinsky, president of KRC Communications Research, which conducted the survey, noted that the number of people who said they viewed Dean unfavorably had risen to 31 percent, up from 20 percent as recently as Sunday, while his favorability rating dropped to 49 percent.

"He's in serious trouble," Chervinsky said.

Clark's numbers "have been dropping since the caucuses" in Iowa, the Globe said.

Jan. 22: Suffolk University-WDHD-TV

John Kerry - 27%
Howard Dean - 19%
Wesley Clark - 15%
John Edwards - 7%

Joe Lieberman - 6%
Dennis Kucinich - 1%
Undecided - 25%

Conducted Tuesday and Wednesday, 400 likely primary voters. Margin of error of plus or minus 5 points.

Jan. 21: Fox News/Univ. of New Hampshire Tracking Poll

Howard Dean - 29%
John Kerry - 27%
Wesley Clark - 18%
John Edwards - 8%
Joe Lieberman - 5%
Dennis Kucinich - 3%
Sharpton - 4%

Jan. 20: Reuters/MSNBC/Zogby Poll

Howard Dean - 25%
John Kerry - 23%
Wes Clark - 16%
John Edwards - 7%
Joe Lieberman - 7%
Dennis Kucinich - 2%
Undecided - 16%

Jan. 20: CNN/USA Today Tracking Poll

Howard Dean - 32%
John Kerry - 25%
Wes Clark - 21%

Jan 19-20: Boston Globe/WBZ tracking poll of Likely Voters

John Kerry - 27%
Howard Dean - 24%
Wes Clark - 17%
John Edwards - 9%
Joe Liebarman - 4%
Dennis Kucinich - less than 1 percent
Al Sharpton - less than 1 percent
Undecided - 16 percent

Jan 19-20: Suffolk University of Boston for WDHD

Howard Dean - 22%
John Kerry - 20%
Wes Clark - 15%
Edwards - 6 percent
Joe Lieberman - 6 percent
Dennis Kucinich - 1 percent
Al Sharpton - less than 1 percent
Undecided - 29 percent

Jan 18-20: American Research Group Poll

Howard Dean - 26%
John Kerry - 24%
Wes Clark - 18%
John Edwards - 9%
Joe Lieberman - 7 percent
Dick Gephardt - 2 percent
Dennis Kucinich - 1 percent
Al Sharpton - less than 1 percent
Undecided, 13 percent

UNH Survey Center/Fox News/WMUR/WCVB Poll

Howard Dean - 33%
John Kerry - 24%
Wes Clark - 18%

Bush Job Peformance: Zogby Poll of Likely Voters

Jan 15-18, 2004: 49% Positive, 50% Negative (this has not changed appreciably since March 2003 - has fluctuated between 45% and 54% positive for Bush)

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