Bush's Space Plan Gives Hope to NASA
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Thursday, Jan. 15, 2004
WASHINGTON President Bush's call for moon missions and
journeys to worlds beyond is what NASA and space enthusiasts have
been hungering to hear. But even supporters wonder how the agency
will cover a tab that's sure to soar into the hundreds of billions
of dollars.
"I hope that by the president making this announcement, he'll
put the horsepower behind it and sustain it for the long run,"
said Sen. Bill Nelson, D-Fla., the only current member of Congress
to fly in space.
But from what Nelson heard Wednesday, the horsepower isn't
there.
Bush is proposing an extra $1 billion for the National
Aeronautics and Space Administration over the next five years for
the new space initiative, an amount Nelson says is "nowhere
close" to what will be needed.
The president also has directed NASA to reallocate $11 billion
within its budgets over the next five years to cover the startup
costs of sending astronauts back to the moon and, eventually, on to
Mars.
The goal is to land astronauts on the moon as early as 2015 and
no later than 2020. Neither Bush nor NASA Administrator Sean
O'Keefe offered a timetable Wednesday for putting humans on Mars,
and neither offered specifics on the spacecraft that would replace
the shuttle and carry astronauts beyond low-Earth orbit.
"Today we set a new course for America's space program," Bush
said in a speech at NASA headquarters that was interrupted several
times by applause. "We will give NASA a new focus and vision for
future exploration. We will build new ships to carry man forward
into the universe, to gain a new foothold on the moon and to
prepare for new journeys to the worlds beyond our own."
Bush's election-year initiative represents the boldest space
goals since President Kennedy laid the groundwork for the Apollo
program that landed Americans on the moon in 1969, just eight years
after the president committed the nation to the daunting goal.
Intended to inject new life into a space program shattered by
last February's loss of the space shuttle Columbia and its crew of
seven, Bush's proposal will require major technological advances,
and it faces tough questions in Congress. Many Democrats say the
administration should take care of problems at home before setting
its sights on costly space initiatives, particularly in the face of
budget deficits of about $500 billion.
Pelosi and Kennedy Unhappy
House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi, D-Calif., said the new space
plan will face tough scrutiny. "As we go forward with any
initiative we have to examine our priorities," she said. "We have
serious challenges here on Earth."
And while professing support for space exploration, Sen. Edward
Kennedy, D-Mass., said, "We shouldn't be going to outer space and
sacrificing what we need to do here."
An AP-Ipsos poll this week found the public evenly split on
Bush's plan. Just over half of Americans said it would be better to
spend the money on programs such as education and health care rather
than on space research.
Bush's father, President G.H.W. Bush, used the 20th
anniversary of the first manned moon landing to call for moon
colonies and a Mars expedition, but that less-detailed plan went
nowhere. The estimated cost: $400 billion to $500 billion.
Glenn Favors Clinton's Globalist Plan
John Glenn figures the price in today's dollars might be close
to double that, "at a time when we are running unprecedented
deficits." The retired Democrat senator, the first American to
orbit the Earth, would much rather see the International Space
Station completed and operating at full capacity, as promised by
the Clinton administration.
Under Bush's plan, the space shuttles would be phased out in
2010, the same time that the space station is finally finished with
a minimum of U.S. input. A new spacecraft called the crew
exploration vehicle would take over by 2014, capable of carrying
astronauts not only to the space station but "beyond our orbit to
other worlds," the president said.
O'Keefe said much could be learned from the proposed Orbital Space
Plane that NASA had envisioned for ferrying astronauts to and from
the space station. "We're not starting with a clean sheet of
paper," he said.
O'Keefe said he did not know whether the crew exploration
vehicle would resemble a capsule or a space plane, or whether it
might be reusable like the shuttle.
"We've got to avoid getting fond of a design. We've got to get
fond of the exploration requirement and agenda of what it's
supposed to do," O'Keefe said.
To carry out his program, Bush created a panel, the
Commission on the Implementation of U.S. Space Exploration Policy,
to advise NASA. Pete Aldridge, a former Air Force secretary, was
named to lead the effort.
The lunar push will begin no later than 2008 with a series of
trailblazing robots, the president said. He stressed that humans
would follow.
Some scientists contend it would be more efficient and less
expensive to use robots instead of astronauts for exploring the
solar system, such as the Spirit rover on Mars right now.
'Need to Touch'
"The human thirst for knowledge ultimately cannot be satisfied
by even the most vivid pictures or the most detailed
measurements," Bush said. "We need to see and examine and touch
for ourselves. And only human beings are capable of adapting to the
inevitable uncertainties posed by space travel."
John Young, among nearly 20 astronauts who attended Bush's
speech, said the initiative was slower and more deliberate than the
Apollo program that put him on the moon in 1972. "But developing
the technologies is crucial. I think we can do that very cheaply
and very fast," he said.
A methodical approach is exactly what's needed this time around,
said Apollo 17 astronaut Gene Cernan, the last man to walk on the
moon, in December 1972.
"He said he once again wants to make NASA relevant. That says a
lot," Cernan said.
In vivid terms, Bush portrayed the nation's space program, with
its three shuttles grounded for the past year by the Columbia
accident, as at a standstill.
"It is time for America to take the next steps," the president
said. Bush added that other countries could join the effort, but
O'Keefe emphasized it would be "very much" a U.S.-led endeavor.
NASA's Scott Hubbard, who served on the Columbia Accident
Investigation Board, said this is the sort of national space vision
that he and his colleagues were hoping for when they issued their
report in August. After three decades without long-term direction,
the space agency sorely needs a national mandate and a compelling
mission requiring human presence in space, the investigators
concluded.
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