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Poll: Hillary Would Win
NewsMax Wires
Sunday, Feb. 9, 2003

New York Sen. Hillary Clinton is the clear favorite among Democratic voters nationwide as they look for a 2004 presidential candidate, according to a Quinnipiac University poll released Friday. 

Sen. Clinton gets 42 percent of the Democratic vote, the independent Quinnipiac (KWIN-uh-pe-ack) University poll finds, compared to 15 percent for her nearest rival, Connecticut Sen. Joseph Lieberman, the Democratic candidate for Vice President in 2000.

Massachusetts Sen. John Kerry and Missouri Congressman Richard Gephardt get 11 percent each, followed by 7 percent for North Carolina Sen. John Edwards, 3 percent for former Vermont Gov. Howard Dean and 2 percent for Rev. Al Sharpton.

Without Clinton, Lieberman gets 27 percent, with 18 percent for Kerry,  16 percent for Gephardt, 14 percent for Edwards, 6 percent for Sharpton and 3 percent for Dean.

"Put Sen. Hillary Clinton in the mix -- even though she says she is not running for President -- and she sweeps the Democratic field," said Maurice Carroll, director of the Quinnipiac University Polling Institute.

"Sen. Lieberman's neighbors like him.  Quinnipiac University polls in Connecticut consistently show him with exceptionally high marks.  And when we take Sen. Clinton out of the Democratic Presidential soup, Lieberman is the main ingredient."

"At this stage, though, it looks as if Democrats are competing for the chance to get thumped by President Bush," Carroll added.

American voters pick Bush over Clinton 52 -- 41 percent.  Other matchups show:

  • Bush over Lieberman 49 -- 43 percent;
  • Bush over Kerry 50 -- 42 percent;
  • Bush over Gephardt 51 -- 42 percent;
  • Bush over Edwards 50 -- 39 percent;
  • Bush over Dean 53 -- 36 percent;
  • Bush over Sharpton 61 -- 23 percent.

From January 29 -- February 3, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,307 American voters, with a margin of error of +/- 2.7 percent.  The survey includes 441 Democrats with a margin of error of +/- 4.7 percent.

The Quinnipiac University Poll, directed by Douglas Schwartz, Ph.D., conducts public opinion surveys in New York, New Jersey, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and nationwide as a public service and for research.

2.  Now I'm going to name six Democrats who might run for president in 2004. After I read all six names, tell me which one you would most like to see theDemocrats nominate for president in 2004. Here are the choices...Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman DickGephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean, and the Reverend Al Sharpton
   
 
Dem
 
Lieberman
27
 
Kerry
18
 
Gephardt
16
 
Edwards
14
 
Dean
3
 
Sharpton
6
 
DK/NA
16
 
   
   
3. Suppose New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton decides to run for president in 2004.  Who would you most like to see the Democrats nominate for president in 2004? New York Senator Hillary Rodham Clinton, Connecticut Senator Joe Lieberman, Massachusetts Senator John Kerry, Missouri Congressman Dick Gephardt, North Carolina Senator John Edwards, former Vermont Governor Howard Dean and the Reverend Al Sharpton
   
 
Dem
 
Clinton
42
 
Lieberman
15
 
Kerry
11
 
Gephardt
11
 
Edwards
7
 
Dean
3
 
Sharpton
2
 
DK/NA
8
 
   
   
4. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were Hillary Rodham Clinton the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
   
 
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Clinton
41
6
73
37
35
46
Bush
52
92
17
54
57
48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
2
-
3
2
2
2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
2
1
2
3
3
1
DK/NA
3
1
4
4
3
3
   
   
5. Suppose ... the candidates were Joe Lieberman the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
   
 
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Lieberman
43
7
76
44
41
45
Bush
49
90
17
45
51
46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
2
1
1
2
2
1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
1
1
1
1
2
1
DK/NA
5
1
5
7
4
6
   
   
6. Suppose the general election for president were being held today, and the candidates were John Kerry the Democrat, and George W.Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
   
 
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Kerry
42
6
76
40
40
43
Bush
50
91
16
48
53
48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
1
-
-
2
1
1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
1
-
1
1
1
-
DK/NA
7
2
7
9
6
7
   
   
7. Suppose... the candidates were Dick Gephardt the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
   
 
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Gephardt
42
5
75
43
38
46
Bush
51
92
18
47
56
46
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
2
1
1
2
2
1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
1
-
-
1
1
-
DK/NA
5
2
5
6
4
7
   
   
8. Suppose... the candidates were John Edwards theDemocrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
   
 
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Edwards
39
6
71
40
36
42
Bush
50
91
17
47
53
48
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
2
-
2
1
2
1
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
1
-
2
1
2
1
DK/NA
7
2
8
10
7
8
   
   
9. Suppose... the candidates were Howard Dean the Democrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
   
 
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Dean
36
5
67
35
32
39
Bush
53
92
20
51
57
50
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
2
-
2
3
2
2
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
2
1
3
2
2
2
DK/NA
7
2
8
9
6
7
   
   
10. Suppose... the candidates were Al Sharpton theDemocrat, and George W. Bush the Republican, for whom would you vote?
   
 
Tot
Rep
Dem
Ind
Men
Wom
Sharpton
24
4
45
22
22
26
Bush
61
93
34
62
65
58
SMONE ELSE(VOL)
4
-
6
5
4
4
WLDN'T VOTE(VOL)
5
1
8
5
5
5
DK/NA
6
1
7
7
4
7

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