What to Do Now About Iraq
Center for Security Policy
Wednesday, Nov. 29, 2001
CSP Decision Brief
No. 01-D 76
11/28/01
WASHINGTON – A growing focus of policy debate in Washington and around
the world is whether, and if so, when, President Bush will launch a second phase
of the war on terrorism – against Iraq.
While there is a growing appreciation that
Saddam Hussein must be removed from power, there is considerable uncertainty
about – and in some quarters adamant opposition to – the United States launching
military operations for that purpose in the foreseeable future.
Fortunately, there is much that the Bush administration could do, short of open
hostilities, to begin the necessary effort to liberate the people of Iraq, as
has recently been done for most of the people of Afghanistan.
A blueprint outlining
such steps was provided to President Bush's predecessor in February 1998 by the
Committee for Peace and Security in the Gulf.
Since many of the authors of this
plan are now senior members of the Bush team – including Secretary of Defense
Donald Rumsfeld, Deputy Secretary of Defense Paul Wolfowitz and Deputy Secretary
of State Richard Armitage – its early adoption and implementation should be accomplished
without further undue internal debate or delay.
Committee for Peace and Security in the Gulf
Open Letter to the President
19 February 1998
Dear Mr. President,
Many of us were involved in organizing the Committee for Peace and Security in
the Gulf in 1990 to support President Bush's policy of expelling Saddam Hussein
from Kuwait. Seven years later, Saddam Hussein is still in power in Baghdad.
And despite his defeat in the Gulf War, continuing sanctions, and the determined
effort of UN inspectors to fetter out and destroy his weapons of mass destruction,
Saddam Hussein has been able to develop biological and chemical munitions. To
underscore the threat posed by these deadly devices, the Secretaries of State
and Defense have said that these weapons could be used against our own people.
And you have said that this issue is about "the challenges of the 21st Century."
Iraq's position is unacceptable. While Iraq is not unique in possessing these
weapons, it is the only country which has used them – not just against its enemies,
but its own people as well. We must assume that Saddam is prepared to use them
again. This poses a danger to our friends, our allies, and to our nation.
It is clear that this danger cannot be eliminated as long as our objective is
simply "containment," and the means of achieving it are limited to sanctions
and exhortations. As the crisis of recent weeks has demonstrated, these static
policies are bound to erode, opening the way to Saddam's eventual return to a
position of power and influence in the region. Only a determined program to change
the regime in Baghdad will bring the Iraqi crisis to a satisfactory conclusion.
For years, the United States has tried to remove Saddam by encouraging coups
and internal conspiracies. These attempts have all failed. Saddam is more wily,
brutal and conspiratorial than any likely conspiracy the United States might
mobilize against him. Saddam must be overpowered; he will not be brought down
by a coup d'etat. But Saddam has an Achilles' heel: lacking popular support,
he rules by terror. The same brutality which makes it unlikely that any coups
or conspiracies can succeed, makes him hated by his own people and the rank and
file of his military. Iraq today is ripe for a broad-based insurrection. We must
exploit this opportunity.
Saddam's long record of treaty violations, deception, and violence shows that
diplomacy and arms control will not constrain him. In the absence of a broader
strategy, even extensive air strikes would be ineffective in dealing with Saddam
and eliminating the threat his regime poses. We believe that the problem is not
only the specifics of Saddam's actions, but the continued existence of the regime
itself.
What is needed now is a comprehensive political and military strategy for bringing
down Saddam and his regime. It will not be easy -- and the course of action we
favor is not without its problems and perils. But we believe the vital national
interests of our country require the United States to:
Recognize a provisional government of Iraq based on the principles and leaders
of the Iraqi National Congress (INC) that is representative of all the peoples
of Iraq.
Restore and enhance the safe haven in northern Iraq to allow the provisional
government to extend its authority there and establish a zone in southern Iraq
from which Saddam's ground forces would also be excluded.
Lift sanctions in liberated areas. Sanctions are instruments of war against
Saddam's regime, but they should be quickly lifted on those who have freed themselves
from it. Also, the oil resources and products of the liberated areas should help
fund the provisional government's insurrection and humanitarian relief for the
people of liberated Iraq.
Release frozen Iraqi assets – which amount to $1.6 billion in the United States
and Britain alone – to the control of the provisional government to fund its
insurrection. This could be done gradually and so long as the provisional government
continues to promote a democratic Iraq.
Facilitate broadcasts from U.S. transmitters immediately and establish a Radio
Free Iraq.
Help expand liberated areas of Iraq by assisting the provisional government's
offensive against Saddam Hussein's regime logistically and through other means.
Remove any vestiges of Saddam's claim to "legitimacy" by, among other things,
bringing a war crimes indictment against the dictator and his lieutenants and
challenging Saddam's credentials to fill the Iraqi seat at the United Nations.
Launch a systematic air campaign against the pillars of his power -- the Republican
Guard divisions which prop him up and the military infrastructure that sustains
him.
Position U.S. ground force equipment in the region so that, as a last resort,
we have the capacity to protect and assist the anti-Saddam forces in the northern
and southern parts of Iraq.
Once you make it unambiguously clear that we are serious about eliminating the
threat posed by Saddam, and are not just engaged in tactical bombing attacks
unrelated to a larger strategy designed to topple the regime, we believe that
such countries as Kuwait, Turkey and Saudi Arabia, whose cooperation would be
important for the implementation of this strategy, will give us the political
and logistical support to succeed.
In the present climate in Washington, some may misunderstand and misinterpret
strong American action against Iraq as having ulterior political motives. We
believe, on the contrary, that strong American action against Saddam is overwhelmingly
in the national interest, that it must be supported, and that it must succeed.
Saddam must not become the beneficiary of an American domestic political controversy.
We are confident that were you to launch an initiative along these lines, the
Congress and the country would see it as a timely and justifiable response to
Iraq's continued intransigence. We urge you to provide the leadership necessary
to save ourselves and the world from the scourge of Saddam and the weapons of
mass destruction that he refuses to relinquish.
Sincerely,
Hon. Stephen Solarz, Former Member, Foreign Affairs Committee, U.S. House of
Representatives
Hon. Richard Perle, Resident Fellow, American Enterprise Institute; Former Assistant
Secretary of Defense
Hon. Elliot Abrams, President, Ethics & Public Policy Center; Former Assistant
Secretary of State
Richard V. Allen, Former National Security Advisor
Hon. Richard Armitage, President, Armitage Associates, L.C.; Former Assistant
Secretary of Defense
Jeffrey T. Bergner, President, Bergner, Bockorny, Clough & Brain; Former Staff
Director, Senate Foreign Relations Committee
Hon. John Bolton, Senior Vice President, American Enterprise Institute; Former
Assistant Secretary of State
Stephen Bryen, Former Deputy Assistant Secretary of Defense
Hon. Richard Burt, Chairman, IEP Advisors, Inc.; Former U.S. Ambassador to Germany;
Former Assistant Secretary of State for European Affairs
Hon. Frank Carlucci, Former Secretary of Defense
Hon. Judge William Clark, Former National Security Advisor
Paula J. Dobriansky, Vice President, Director of Washington Office, Council on
Foreign Relations; Former Member, National Security Council
Doug Feith, Managing Attorney, Feith & Zell P.C.; Former Deputy Assistant Secretary
of Defense for Negotiations Policy
Frank Gaffney, Director, Center for Security Policy; Former Deputy Assistant
Secretary of Defense for Nuclear Forces
Jeffrey Gedmin, Executive Director, New Atlantic Initiative; Research Fellow,
American Enterprise Institute
Hon. Fred C. Ikle, Former Undersecretary of Defense
Robert Kagan, Senior Associate, Carnegie Endowment for International Peace
Zalmay M. Khalilzad, Director, Strategy and Doctrine, RAND Corporation
Sven F. Kraemer, Former Director of Arms Control, National Security Council
William Kristol, Editor, The Weekly Standard
Michael Ledeen, Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute; Former Special
Advisor to the Secretary of State
Bernard Lewis, Professor Emeritus of Middle Eastern and Ottoman Studies, Princeton
University
R. Admiral Frederick L. Lewis, U.S. Navy, Retired
Maj. Gen. Jarvis Lynch, U.S. Marine Corps, Retired
Hon. Robert C. McFarlane, Former National Security Advisor
Joshua Muravchik, Resident Scholar, American Enterprise Institute
Robert A. Pastor, Former Special Assistant to President Carter for Inter-American
Affairs
Martin Peretz, Editor-in-Chief, The New Republic
Roger Robinson, Former Senior Director of International Economic Affairs, National
Security Council
Peter Rodman, Director of National Security Programs, Nixon Center for Peace
and Freedom; Former Director, Policy Planning Staff, U.S. Department of State
Hon. Peter Rosenblatt, Former Ambassador to the Trust Territories of the Pacific
Hon. Donald Rumsfeld, Former Secretary of Defense
Gary Schmitt, Executive Director, Project for the New American Century; Former
Executive Director, President's Foreign Intelligence Advisory Board
Max Singer, President, The Potomac Organization; Former President, The Hudson
Institute
Hon. Helmut Sonnenfeldt, Guest Scholar, The Brookings Institution; Former Counsellor,
U.S. Department of State
Hon. Caspar Weinberger, Former Secretary of Defense
Leon Wienseltier, Literary Editor, The New Republic
Hon. Paul Wolfowitz, Dean, Johns Hopkins SAIS; Former Undersecretary of Defense
David Wurmser, Director, Middle East Program, AEI; Research Fellow, American
Enterprise Institute
Dov S. Zakheim, Former Deputy Undersecretary of Defense
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Saddam Hussein/Iraq